Sources & Verification
This page combines current child-care industry data, Family Child Care supply and price data, labor-market data, and practical compliance and tax context. Because Home Daycare sits inside the larger Child Care market but runs under very local home, licensing, and ratio limits, the page also uses editorial judgment to connect the broader numbers to a practical Family Daycare model.
industry size
IBISWorld
Supports: U.S. day care market size and business count
Key point: IBISWorld puts the U.S. Day Care industry at about $72.8 billion in 2026, with about 591,000 businesses in 2025.
View source →child care market growth
Grand View Research
Supports: Broader U.S. child care market size and growth direction
Key point: Grand View Research estimates the U.S. child care market at about $65.15 billion in 2024 and projects it to reach about $109.88 billion by 2033.
View source →price context
Child Care Aware of America
Supports: National child care price and affordability pressure
Key point: Child Care Aware says the national average child care price reached about $13,128 in 2024, up 29% from 2020, equal to about 10% of a married couple's median income and about 35% of a single parent's median income.
View source →family child care supply
Child Care Aware of America
Supports: Current supply trend for licensed family child care homes
Key point: Licensed family child care homes rose 4.8% nationally from 2023 to 2024, but supply still declined in 29 of 39 states with complete data.
View source →child care access pressure
RAPID Survey Project
Supports: Current difficulty families face when searching for care
Key point: In June 2025, 15% of surveyed families with children under 6 had looked for child care in the last month, and nearly three in four of those families said they had difficulty finding a spot.
View source →labor context
BLS
Supports: Wage and job-structure context for child care work
Key point: BLS says childcare workers had a median hourly wage of $15.41 in May 2024, and education and training requirements vary by setting, state, and employer.
View source →family child care definition
ChildCare.gov
Supports: Definition and basic regulated-care context
Key point: ChildCare.gov describes family child care homes as care for a small group of children in the provider's own private home, with licensed providers also meeting health and safety requirements such as training and CPR/First Aid.
View source →food program context
USDA Food and Nutrition Service
Supports: Meal reimbursement context for licensed child care providers
Key point: USDA publishes annual CACFP reimbursement rates for meals and snacks served in day care homes, including the 2025-2026 period.
View source →subsidy access context
Brookings
Supports: CCDF subsidy access and waitlist pressure
Key point: Brookings notes that only about 15% of children eligible for CCDF subsidies actually receive them, and that many states maintain long waitlists; in Virginia alone, nearly 19,000 families hit a subsidy waitlist between July 2024 and May 2025.
View source →tax context
IRS Publication 587
Supports: Business-use-of-home deduction context for home daycare operators
Key point: IRS Publication 587 includes special rules for daycare providers when figuring and claiming the deduction for business use of the home.
View source →The parts of this page covering market size, Child Care pricing, Family Child Care supply trends, recent child care search difficulty, wage context, CACFP reimbursement context, CCDF subsidy access pressure, and home-use tax context are grounded in public sources. The parts covering startup shape, repeat logic, enrollment risk, home-life overlap, operator fit, and growth structure are editorial conclusions built from those sources rather than direct single-source claims.
Whether this Home Daycare is worth doing still depends heavily on your state licensing rules, neighborhood demand, parent trust, your tolerance for running the business inside your home, and whether the daily routine fits your life. The broad demand story is strong, but safe child care, communication, consistency, and pricing discipline usually decide whether the business actually feels workable.